Warning as shops and restaurants with lowest-paid workers will bear record Budget tax rises – as 17k MORE closures loom

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FIRMS with the lowest-paid workers like shops and restaurants will bear the brunt of Budget tax rises, analysis has found.

Experts warn it will lead to fewer low-paid jobs being created, making it harder for the unemployed to find work.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves speaking to the media.
Rachel Reeves’ National Insurance increases for employers make those with staff on the minimum wage pay £2,000 extra per worker, say experts

The Centre for Policy Studies says the Chancellor’s National Insurance increases for employers make those with staff on the minimum wage pay £2,367 extra per worker.

They will have to stomach national insurance increases from 13.8 to 15 per cent next year, with payments starting when an employee earns £5,000, down from the current £9,100.

Researcher Daniel Herring explained: “The more of an employee’s salary is owed in tax — paid by the employee or employer — the more costly it is for businesses to create jobs.”

“By making it more expensive to employ people, the hikes in employer’s national insurance disproportionately affect the lowest paid or those who are looking to move back into work after being economically inactive.”

Meanwhile economists have warned some 17,350 shops could shut this year because of Labour’s tax-whacking Budget.

Experts braced Britain for a high street cull far beyond the 13,000 stores that closed during 2024.

The Centre for Retail Research said there was “worse to come” in the next 12 months as firms struggle to stay afloat.

Kate Nicholls, the chief executive of UKHospitality, which represents pubs, restaurants and venues, said: “The Government needs to urgently rethink these changes.

“We’re calling for a delay to its introduction in April to give the Chancellor time to consult with businesses on measures that can protect businesses and team members.”

Of the 17,350 forecast to close, around 14,660 are expected to be smaller, independent retailers. 

A Treasury spokesperson said: “We delivered a once in a parliament Budget to wipe the slate clean and deliver the stability businesses so desperately need.

“The independent OBR confirmed that it delivers lower unemployment and higher wages over the coming years, and more than half of employers will either see a cut or no change in their National Insurance bills.

“Now we are focused on delivering our Plan For Change which will get Britain building, unlock investment, and support business so we can make all parts of the country better off.”

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It comes on the back of a tough 2024 when 13,000 shops closed their doors for good, already a 28 per cent increase on the previous year.

Commercial real estate firm Altus Group said the cut in the business rates discount from 75 per cent to 40 per cent in April announced at the 2024 autumn budget, will see the average shop’s rates bill spiral from £3,589 to £8,613 for 2025/26.

The Chancellor also increased costs for bosses through hikes to their National Insurance Contributions, and hiking the minimum wage. 

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